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Can you guess the quantity

No credible estimate of the Nya Gyidie-1X gas and condensate volume has been published, and guessing one would be misleading, but the well data and nearby analogues in the Tano Basin give a rough sense of what is plausible.

Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.

Nobody can. No reserve figure for the Nya Gyidie-1X gas and condensate find at the Deepwater Cape Three Points block has been published, and guessing one would be misleading rather than helpful. Here is what the available evidence does allow.

What the well data tells us

The well sits about 148 kilometres offshore and was drilled at a water depth of 2,289 metres, encountering hydrocarbons in carbonate rock between 3,364 and 3,499 metres measured depth along the wellbore. That is a hydrocarbon column of roughly 135 metres, which is a useful early data point, but column thickness alone doesn't translate into a reserve number without knowing the porosity of the rock, the fluid saturation and the areal extent of the structure.

What analogous finds in the same basin suggest

The broader Tano Basin and Cape Three Points area give some sense of scale. On the adjacent Deepwater Tano Cape Three Points block, the former operator Hess found seven fields including the gas and condensate fields Hickory North and Paradise, and Wood Mackenzie estimated recoverable resources across that block at 453 million barrels. That is a different block and a different geological play, but it shows the basin is capable of material accumulations.

For a closer analogue on the carbonate rock type the Nya Gyidie-1X actually penetrated, a comparable find from Eni on a nearby Cape Three Points block, the Akoma-1X well, gives a rough sense of what carbonate plays in the region can hold. Eni's Akoma-1X well on Cape Three Points Block 4 encountered an estimated 550 to 650 billion cubic feet of gas and 18 to 20 million barrels of condensate, with upside potential for both. That is one data point from a different structure and operator, not a prediction for Nya Gyidie.

Why a real number has to wait

The next task is to rigorously evaluate the discovery's scale and commercial potential, and further technical work is required to determine the size, characteristics and commercial viability of the discovery. Until appraisal wells are drilled and seismic is properly interpreted, any figure is as much imagination as analysis.

The honest framing is this: the well is in a proven basin, it found real hydrocarbons in a rock type never before successfully tested in Ghana, and comparable finds nearby have ranged from modest to genuinely large. Where Nya Gyidie-1X lands on that spectrum is a question that appraisal work, not guesswork, will answer.

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This follows on from
What are the latest updates on the hydrocarbon discovery at Cape Three Points in Ghana?

President John Dramani Mahama announced today that Ghana has made a new offshore gas and condensate discovery at the Nya Gyidie-1X well in the Deepwater Cape Three Points block of the Tano Basin, calling it an important milestone for the country's petroleum sector.

Read that one first

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